Blanket change to TFW program makes little sense

Recent changeto the rules around Temporary Foreign Workers have caught many businesses by surprise. The program has existed for half a century and has been vital to helping employers fill out their workforce. It’s also proved to be a popular pathway to Canadian citizenship.

The rule changes were driven by shifting political winds that have seen the federal government curtail immigration targets. However, applying the same rules to all regions across the country does not reflect the reality that unemployment rates vary immensely. In Greater Victoria, the rate is often one of the lowest in Canada.

“Losing this source of workers can make the difference in staying viable for some employers,” Chamber CEO Bruce Williams said. “We’ve been meeting with federal government representatives and plan to keep making the case for an exemption for our region.”

If the changes have impacted your business, contact The Chamber at communications@victoriachamber.ca to learn more about our advocacy work.

How will tariffs affect you? Help us advocate for business

Help us help you.

We know the threat of tariffs has already created shockwaves in the Canadian economy. But how will they impact you specifically? We’d like to hear what you have to say so we can take those concerns forward to all levels of government. Please share your thoughts with

communications@victoriachamber.ca.

The Chamber is often looked to for solutions in times of crisis and — as our region’s voice of business — we work hard to represent all of our members. This can be with municipal mayors and councils, local and national media or with federal and provincial representatives.

We know tariffs will be a major topic next week at our Business Leaders Breakfast with BC Finance Minister Brenda Bailey. This event is now sold out, but you can still register for our next Business Leaders Series event with Capt. (N) Kevin Whiteside. The Base Commander has championed a good relationship with our business community, and he has plenty of insight into how to further that partnership.

In times of uncertainty, CFB Esquimalt has always been a pillar of strength for Greater Victoria’s economy. The base employs about 6,000 people who support our region’s retailers and services. As well, this community within a community is a significant customer of goods and supplies itself. Find out more about how you can help build connections on March 13.

Food prices drop for first time since 2017: CPI at 1.9%

Canada’s inflation rate ticked up slightly in January, to 1.9%.

“The (tax) holiday gave Canadians a bit of a break on prices for alcohol, food and clothing — enough to bring restaurant prices down for the first time since 2017,” Canadian Chamber economist Andrew DiCapua said. “However, that relief was overshadowed by higher energy prices which kept overall inflation pressures elevated.”

The Bank of Canada had forecast inflation to come in at 1.7% in January, which likley indicates it will not cut interest rates at its March 12 meeting, DiCapua said.

“Despite our working assumption that rates should be lowered to neutral (around 2%) by Summer 2025, the Bank will likely pause rates at their next meeting to evaluate the effects of their monetary policy.”

Trying times are nothing new, working together will get us through

I want to take a minute to address all of our Chamber members and let you know we are here for you. These are uncertain times, for sure. But we have faced uncertainty for a while now, and we understand what it takes to thrive in less than perfect conditions.

Our fundamentals are strong — as a region, as a business community and as an organization. The key is remembering what we can control and what we can’t. Around the world, there are multiple situations that want our attention. The term polycrisis has become popular to explain this state of affairs as we experience sweeping political and social change, rapid technological advancements and ongoing climate emergencies.

Right now, the elephant in the room is the threat of economic action against Canada by the new government in the United States. We still don’t know what this will look like, but we are hearing about potential responses and repercussions every day. This week, the provincial government’s Throne Speech seemed to put BC on a war footing. And, federally, we’re hearing similar rhetoric from leadership candidates seeking to be our next Prime Minister.

The barrage of headlines can feel overwhelming.

I don’t know what the future holds, but I can tell you that I continue to work with our Chamber team to improve business conditions in Greater Victoria. This includes meeting with decision makers in all levels of government, creating connections for members of our region’s business community and supporting members however needed.

Our mission holds. We will work together to build good business and great community for all.

We can take heart in the report from the Canadian Chamber’s Business Data Lab that found Greater Victoria’s economy is among the best protected in the country.

Our regional economy is resilient. We have always been leaders in championing diversity.

Our tourism, tech and civil society sectors are powerful. Our public sector has evolved in symbiosis with a thriving private sector. More recently, we have seen how championing inclusion has fortified our labour force and added creativity to our enterprises. These are pragmatic solutions representing the reality of who we are as a community. Let’s not forget that.

Taken together, our commitment to building a sustainable and resilient economy has helped us through every crisis we’ve faced in the past. And I know — when the present eventually becomes the past — we will be grateful for the strong foundation that all of us have helped build.

Let’s carry on doing our best work, stay focused on what we can accomplish and hold on to the values that make our community the envy of the world.

Region ranked 36th among cities facing tariff impacts

Another day, another market-shaking remark from the economic elephant south of the border. After giving Canada a 30-day reprieve from his initial 25% tariff threat, US President Donald Trump surprised everyone by announcing a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum.

The seemingly random rhetoric has created uncertainty in the business world — a world that places a high value on planning for the future.

To help us better understand what a trade war might mean for Canadian communities, the national chamber network’s Business Data Lab has taken a deep dive into the potential impact on 41 Canadian cities.

The good news for Greater Victoria is we are low on the list at 36.

“Near the bottom of the list are cities that are less exposed to the tariffs because they trade less intensively with the US and/or have more diversified trade patterns. Several of these cities are located on Canada’s coasts, exporting more to Asia from the West Coast, or more to Europe from the East Coast,” the report said. “In British Columbia this includes Victoria, Nanaimo and Kamloops. On the East Coast it’s Halifax, Nova Scotia. And it appears that Sudbury’s exports of nickel and copper are reaching other international markets beyond the United States.”

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Feds announce summit to spark Canadian economy

The federal government announced today that it will hold a Canada-US Economic Summit on Feb. 7.

The summit will bring together Canadian leaders in trade, business, public policy and organized labour. Their aim will be to make it easier to build and trade within Canada — the ninth-largest economy in the world — as well as to diversify export markets and increase productivity.

“These are all areas our Chamber network has been calling for and we will keep calling for until this investment in our communities is realized,” Chamber CEO Bruce Williams said.

Tariff threat on hold, but clock ticks for new plan for Canada

Businesses were quick to respond to the imminent threat of US tariffs, with calls to support local and buy Canadian.

Now that the trade war has been “paused,” it’s clear we need to be better prepared in case US President Donald Trump does impose crippling tariffs on Canadian products.

Chamber CEO Bruce Williams has been speaking to local media about efforts to support local businesses and analyze what the chaotic trade talk might mean.

“I think the concerning part, for a lot of people, is the uncertainty as to whether or not it’s going to happen. And, if so, what is it going to look like? And will the Americans come to an understanding that it’s damaging to them as well as to us,” Chamber CEO Bruce Williams told CHEK News in January.

The national Chamber network is calling for a multi-partisan approach to develop an “all-in” strategy. Canadian Chamber President Candace Laing said unity is vital so we can “address critical roadblocks that have left Canada too dependent on trade with the United States.”

Priorities of the All-In Plan:

  1. Make it easier to trade within Canada to build our economy and resilience from within
  2. Build modern trade infrastructure to get Canadian goods overseas
  3. Reduce red tape for businesses held back by piled up paperwork
  4. Lower taxation so businesses can compete globally while diversifying trade relationships.

“Businesses have durable relationships, which will chart a secure, prosperous future, but Canada’s leaders need to get back in gear for it to work. When Canadians and Americans see Parliament closed, they see a rudderless ship,” Laing said. “We need to send a strong message to President Trump and the world that we will rise to this occasion, as a unified Canada. Tariffs tomorrow instead of tariffs today still leave businesses, workers and families in the lurch. $3.6 billion in trade every day hangs in the balance.”

 

Eby names ‘war-room’ to protect BC against US tariffs

With US President Donald Trump threatening to impose tariffs as early as Saturday, BC Premier David Eby has assembled a cabinet committee to fight back.

Housing and Municipal Affairs Minister Ravi Kahlon will chair the committee, which will act as a day-to-day war room.

“This threat isn’t going away anytime soon – not while this president is in power,” Eby said, noting that the committee will work to protect BC businesses, families and workers.

Part of the strategy is to strengthen ties to markets other than the US.

“We didn’t ask for this fight, but BC will not be bullied,” Kahlon said.

Members of the new cabinet committee are:

  • Ravi Kahlon, Minister of Housing and Municipal Affairs
  • Diana Gibson, Minister of Jobs, Economic Development and Innovation
  • Brenda Bailey, Minister of Finance
  • Adrian Dix, Minister of Energy and Climate Solutions
  • Lana Popham, Minister of Agriculture and Food
  • Randene Neill, Minister of Water, Land and Resource Stewardship
  • Rick Glumac, Minister of State for Trade
  • Ravi Parmar, Minister of Forests
  • Jagrup Brar, Minister of Mining and Critical Minerals
  • Tamara Davidson, Minister of Environment and Parks

Bank cuts interest rates again as uncertainty remains

This morning, the Bank of Canada reduced its target for the overnight rate to 3%. The Bank also said it was ending quantitative tightening, starting gradually in early March.

Economic projections are more fuzzy now than they typically are because of the shifting political landscape, particularly the threat of US tariffs.

“With inflation around 2% and the economy in excess supply, Governing Council decided to reduce the policy rate a further 25 basis points to 3%. The cumulative reduction in the policy rate since last June is substantial. Lower interest rates are boosting household spending and, in the outlook published today, the economy is expected to strengthen gradually and inflation to stay close to target,” the Bank stated. “However, if broad-based and significant tariffs were imposed, the resilience of Canada’s economy would be tested. We will be following developments closely and assessing the implications for economic activity, inflation and monetary policy in Canada. The Bank is committed to maintaining price stability for Canadians.”

Chamber network working behind scenes to help Canada

It’s said that no one wins a tariff war, and with so much uncertainty about what newly anointed US President Donald Trump might do to pressure Canadians economically, the Chamber’s national network is proactively working to build allies where it counts.

This week, the Canadian Chamber was in Washington, DC, during the US inauguration. The Chamber spoke with US decisionmakers to ensure they understand the risks posed by tariffs.

Through direct engagement with key partners, the Canadian chamber made the case that imposing tariffs doesn’t strengthen economies but weakens them by driving up costs, disrupting cross-border trade, and putting millions of jobs at risk on both sides of the border.

Tariffs would act as a tax on US families and businesses, and hurt the US economy.

“Instead, we called for collaborative solutions to grow our $1.3 trillion annual trade relationship and protect the millions of jobs it supports,” the Chamber said. “Beyond this week, our advocacy continues at full speed. We’re championing policies to remove barriers, diversify trading partners, and prepare Canada for potential economic impacts.”