March 11 marked COVID national day of Observance

It seems like another lifetime. On March 11, 2020, the World Health Organization officially declared a global pandemic.

Our way of life, and, for many, way of doing business, was turned upside down. COVID-19 was an unknown and dangerous disease that would claim 6,600 people in BC and almost 60,000 across Canada despite unprecedented efforts to prevent the spread of infection. The experience changed the way we think about washing our hands, disinfecting our homes and workplaces and even how we greet others.

“I started with The Chamber in June of 2020 — as workers were being told to stay at home and many businesses faced huge losses because they had to shut down,” Chamber CEO Bruce Williams said. “We saw some organizations go into a sort of hibernation, but the need for The Chamber was never more clear. We were asked to be an even louder voice of business and we helped shape many of the programs and policies that got our community through those dark times.”

The Chamber worked closely with federal, provincial and municipal governments to urge them to move quickly on everything from new rules for outdoor patios to low-interest loans to enabling online sales. We also introduced the Chamber Champions program, a new tier of membership for organizations that have the capacity to lift up smaller businesses during times of crisis.

Last year, the federal government declared March 11 as Pandemic Observance Day to “commemorate the efforts to get through the pandemic, to remember its effects and to reflect on ways to prepare for any future pandemics.”

Bank drops interest rate, citing trade war uncertainty

The Bank of Canada made another cut to interest rates today, lowering the overnight rate to 2.75%.

“The Canadian economy entered 2025 in a solid position, with inflation close to the 2% target and robust GDP growth,” the Bank said in a media release. “However, heightened trade tensions and tariffs imposed by the United States will likely slow the pace of economic activity and increase inflationary pressures in Canada.”

The Bank has conducted research into how Canadian businesses and households are reacting to the tradewar. Not surprisingly, people say they plan to be more cautious with spending and are worried about job security. Businesses are revising sales outlooks, while also trying to tie into the wave of “buy Canadian” sentiment sweeping the country.

“Monetary policy cannot offset the impacts of a trade war. What it can and must do is ensure that higher prices do not lead to ongoing inflation,” the Bank said.

BC pulls all US alcohol from province’s liquor stores

Serious, surreal and silly. Any of these work for describing the current relationship between Canada and the United States as President Trump continues to attack Canadians’ national identity while threatening to gravely damage businesses, families and industry on this side of the border.

The trade war started with tariffs, which serve as a tax paid by Americans on certain Canadian goods. The dispute expanded to citizen boycotts of US groceries and now a provincial ban on US alcohol.

American beer, wine, spirits and other beverages have been removed from BC Liquor stores and the BC Liquor Distribution Branch has stopped bringing any more into the province.

“We are taking this action in response to escalating threats from south of the border,” BC Premier David Eby said. “Most recently, U.S. President Donald Trump made new threats against Canada’s dairy and lumber industries – and there are reports he has been musing about redrawing the border.”

The symbolic move has the support of the BC Restaurant & Foodservices Association.

BCRFA President and CEO Ian Tostenson sent a letter to members explaining what the decision meant for businesses.

“You will still be allowed to sell US-made products in your establishments for as long as you have a supply,” Tostenson said. “BCRFA is proudly on Team Canada and there is no better time to stand with our local brewers, vintners, and distillers than right now.”

Learn more about how the tradewar could impact your business. Register now for The Chamber’s AGM on April 15 to hear an expert panel discuss current US relations.

Navigate the trade war seas with MNP resource kit

This week saw the first shots fired in a trade war started by US President Donald Trump. The action led to retaliatory tariffs and a heating up of rhetoric across social media. But how will tariffs affect you and your business? To help better understand the specific challenges, MNP has released a Trade Impact Navigator.

This navigator includes a Tariff Exposure Risk Assessment you can take online, articles explaining the issues and a link to register for their webinar Preparing for tariff impacts that go beyond the bottom line.

BC Budget 2025 attempts to tackle trade war’s unknowns

The best news from yesterday’s BC Budget 2025 announcement was a promise from the provincial Finance Minister to work more closely with businesses going forward.

As is tradition, the minister met with the Greater Victoria Chamber of Commerce today to discuss the budget.

Brenda Bailey, a former tech sector entrepreneur, was elected to government in 2020 and appointed Finance Minister in November 2024. Her first budget day was overshadowed by news that the United States was moving ahead with a trade war on Canada.

Bailey acknowledged the curveball, noting that the budget was put together with tariffs in mind. There is also $4 billion in contingency funds set aside annually for three years to address unforeseen challenges. It’s a strategy that makes sense, but one business groups will be watching closely.

“We want to see policies that are looking at the horizon, that are investing in making our private sector bigger, growing our economy,” Chamber CEO Bruce Williams said. “We’re fortunate to live in a region with a diverse economy that is relatively sheltered from a trade war. That said, we know we’re in for challenging times ahead as Canada will be impacted by tariffs.”

In response to the US’s tariff announcement, the Canadian Chamber issued a statement saying the trade war will hurt Americans and have disastrous impacts on people in many US cities.

“Canada is resource and talent rich. Our economic future is ours to determine — it’s time to join our economic strategy with concrete action to not only minimize the short-term damage but to chart a more prosperous path long-term,” Canadian Chamber president and CEO Candace Laing said.

Blanket change to TFW program makes little sense

Recent changeto the rules around Temporary Foreign Workers have caught many businesses by surprise. The program has existed for half a century and has been vital to helping employers fill out their workforce. It’s also proved to be a popular pathway to Canadian citizenship.

The rule changes were driven by shifting political winds that have seen the federal government curtail immigration targets. However, applying the same rules to all regions across the country does not reflect the reality that unemployment rates vary immensely. In Greater Victoria, the rate is often one of the lowest in Canada.

“Losing this source of workers can make the difference in staying viable for some employers,” Chamber CEO Bruce Williams said. “We’ve been meeting with federal government representatives and plan to keep making the case for an exemption for our region.”

If the changes have impacted your business, contact The Chamber at communications@victoriachamber.ca to learn more about our advocacy work.

How will tariffs affect you? Help us advocate for business

Help us help you.

We know the threat of tariffs has already created shockwaves in the Canadian economy. But how will they impact you specifically? We’d like to hear what you have to say so we can take those concerns forward to all levels of government. Please share your thoughts with

communications@victoriachamber.ca.

The Chamber is often looked to for solutions in times of crisis and — as our region’s voice of business — we work hard to represent all of our members. This can be with municipal mayors and councils, local and national media or with federal and provincial representatives.

We know tariffs will be a major topic next week at our Business Leaders Breakfast with BC Finance Minister Brenda Bailey. This event is now sold out, but you can still register for our next Business Leaders Series event with Capt. (N) Kevin Whiteside. The Base Commander has championed a good relationship with our business community, and he has plenty of insight into how to further that partnership.

In times of uncertainty, CFB Esquimalt has always been a pillar of strength for Greater Victoria’s economy. The base employs about 6,000 people who support our region’s retailers and services. As well, this community within a community is a significant customer of goods and supplies itself. Find out more about how you can help build connections on March 13.

Food prices drop for first time since 2017: CPI at 1.9%

Canada’s inflation rate ticked up slightly in January, to 1.9%.

“The (tax) holiday gave Canadians a bit of a break on prices for alcohol, food and clothing — enough to bring restaurant prices down for the first time since 2017,” Canadian Chamber economist Andrew DiCapua said. “However, that relief was overshadowed by higher energy prices which kept overall inflation pressures elevated.”

The Bank of Canada had forecast inflation to come in at 1.7% in January, which likley indicates it will not cut interest rates at its March 12 meeting, DiCapua said.

“Despite our working assumption that rates should be lowered to neutral (around 2%) by Summer 2025, the Bank will likely pause rates at their next meeting to evaluate the effects of their monetary policy.”

Trying times are nothing new, working together will get us through

I want to take a minute to address all of our Chamber members and let you know we are here for you. These are uncertain times, for sure. But we have faced uncertainty for a while now, and we understand what it takes to thrive in less than perfect conditions.

Our fundamentals are strong — as a region, as a business community and as an organization. The key is remembering what we can control and what we can’t. Around the world, there are multiple situations that want our attention. The term polycrisis has become popular to explain this state of affairs as we experience sweeping political and social change, rapid technological advancements and ongoing climate emergencies.

Right now, the elephant in the room is the threat of economic action against Canada by the new government in the United States. We still don’t know what this will look like, but we are hearing about potential responses and repercussions every day. This week, the provincial government’s Throne Speech seemed to put BC on a war footing. And, federally, we’re hearing similar rhetoric from leadership candidates seeking to be our next Prime Minister.

The barrage of headlines can feel overwhelming.

I don’t know what the future holds, but I can tell you that I continue to work with our Chamber team to improve business conditions in Greater Victoria. This includes meeting with decision makers in all levels of government, creating connections for members of our region’s business community and supporting members however needed.

Our mission holds. We will work together to build good business and great community for all.

We can take heart in the report from the Canadian Chamber’s Business Data Lab that found Greater Victoria’s economy is among the best protected in the country.

Our regional economy is resilient. We have always been leaders in championing diversity.

Our tourism, tech and civil society sectors are powerful. Our public sector has evolved in symbiosis with a thriving private sector. More recently, we have seen how championing inclusion has fortified our labour force and added creativity to our enterprises. These are pragmatic solutions representing the reality of who we are as a community. Let’s not forget that.

Taken together, our commitment to building a sustainable and resilient economy has helped us through every crisis we’ve faced in the past. And I know — when the present eventually becomes the past — we will be grateful for the strong foundation that all of us have helped build.

Let’s carry on doing our best work, stay focused on what we can accomplish and hold on to the values that make our community the envy of the world.

Region ranked 36th among cities facing tariff impacts

Another day, another market-shaking remark from the economic elephant south of the border. After giving Canada a 30-day reprieve from his initial 25% tariff threat, US President Donald Trump surprised everyone by announcing a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum.

The seemingly random rhetoric has created uncertainty in the business world — a world that places a high value on planning for the future.

To help us better understand what a trade war might mean for Canadian communities, the national chamber network’s Business Data Lab has taken a deep dive into the potential impact on 41 Canadian cities.

The good news for Greater Victoria is we are low on the list at 36.

“Near the bottom of the list are cities that are less exposed to the tariffs because they trade less intensively with the US and/or have more diversified trade patterns. Several of these cities are located on Canada’s coasts, exporting more to Asia from the West Coast, or more to Europe from the East Coast,” the report said. “In British Columbia this includes Victoria, Nanaimo and Kamloops. On the East Coast it’s Halifax, Nova Scotia. And it appears that Sudbury’s exports of nickel and copper are reaching other international markets beyond the United States.”

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