Inflation down but concerns lurk below surface
Inflation watchers haven’t had much excitement over the past several months (thankfully), but the April numbers have created a bit of intrigue. Statistics Canada reports the Consumer Price Index rose by 1.7% year over year last month. That’s well within the Bank of Canada’s target rate for maintaining interest rates. However, without the 12.7% discount created by the removal of the carbon tax on fuel, prices for many other goods jumped by an uncomfortable amount.
This makes the Bank of Canada’s June 4 interest rate announcement more complicated, said an economist with TD Bank.
“We had expected the inflationary impacts of tariffs to start flowing through later in the second quarter of the year – the jump in April suggests this could be happening sooner than expected,” TD Senior Economist Andrew Henci said. “With the government of Canada offering a temporary reprieve on some tariffs, and the labour market slowing rapidly, we believe the central bank will have enough space to deliver two more cuts this year – adding a bit more support to an economy quickly losing momentum.”